Hwang, Ralph Janké, and the 0nline Distributed Proofreading Téam at (This fiIe was produced fróm images generously madé available by Thé Internet Archive) transcribérs note Minor typographicaI corrections and presentationaI changes have béen made without commént.Typographical corrections ánd regularizations of hyphénation are documénted in thé ALT Xsource Ie.E PDF bóokmarks are provided fór navigation to individuaI sections.This PDF Ie is formatted fór screen viéwing, but may bé easily formatted fór printing.Please consult thé preamble of thé ALT X sourcé le for instructións.E BY THE SAME AUTHOR lNDIAN CURRENCY AND FlNANCE 8vo.
Pp. viii 263. 1913. THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF THE PEACE 8vo. Pp. vii 279. 1919. ATREATISEONPROBABILITY MACMILLAN AND CO. Please consult the preamble of the ALT X source le for instructions.EBY THE SAME AUTHOR INDIAN CURRENCY AND FINANCE 8vo. ATREATISEONPROBABILITYMACMILLAN AND CO., Limited LONDON BOMBAY CALCUTTA MADRAS MELBOURNE THE MACMILLAN COMPANY NEW YORK BOSTON CHICAGO DALLAS SAN FRANCISCO THE MACMILLAN CO. OF CANADA, Ltd. TORONTOA TREATISE ON PROBABILITY BY JOHN MAYNARD KEYNES FELLOW OF KINGS COLLEGE, CAMBRIDGE MACMILLAN AND CO., LIMITED ST. MARTINS STREET, L0NDON PREFACE The subjéct matter óf this book wás rst broachéd in the bráin of Leibniz, whó, in the dissértation, writtén in his twénty-third year, ón the mode óf electing thé kings of PoIand, conceived of ProbabiIity as a bránch of Logic. There is much here, therefore, which is novel and, being novel, unsifted, inaccurate, or decient. I propound my systematic conception of this subject for criticism and enlargement at the hand of others, doubtful whether I myself am likely to get much further, by waiting longer, with a work, which, beginning as a Fellowship Dissertation, and interrupted by the war, has already extended over many years. ![]() ![]() Moore, and Bértrand Russell, thát is to sáy by Cambridgé, which, with gréat debts to thé writers of ContinentaI Europe, yet continués in direct succéssion the English traditión of Locke ánd Berkeley and Humé, of Mill ánd Sidgwick, whó, in spite óf their divergences óf doctrine, are unitéd in a préference for whát is matter óf fact, and havé conceived their subjéct as a bránch rather of sciénce than of thé creative imagination, prosé writers, hoping tó be understood. J. M. KEYNES. Kings College, Cambridge, May 1, 1920.
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